Models for the spread of HIV/AIDS: Trends in Southern Africa

Conference proceedings article

Authors / Editors

Lungu, Edward

Research Areas

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Publication Details

Author list: Lungu EM, Kgosimore M, Nyabadza F

Publisher: Providence, RI; American Mathematical Society; 1999

Place: PROVIDENCE

Publication year: 2006

Journal: Contemporary Mathematics (0271-4132)

Journal acronym: CONTEMP MATH

Volume number: 410

Start page: 259

End page: 277

Number of pages: 19

ISBN: 0-8218-3775-3

ISSN: 0271-4132

eISSN: 1098-3627

Languages: English-Great Britain (EN-GB)

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Abstract

d We study the effects of nutrition, education and treatment on the spread of HIV/AIDS in a population subjected to social-economic barriers and we ask the question: at what rate should the adult population be exposed to education on prevention of HIV/AIDS, how effective must this education be and at what treatment rates can the reproduction number be reduced below one? If the HIV burden is reduced for the adult population, we ask a further question: what fraction of treated infected juveniles can join the adulthood without causing an epidemic? Our results reveal that in all Southern African countries the rate at which individuals start treatment is far below that suggested by our model. The education parameters and the fraction of juveniles who can join the adulthood without causing an epidemic have been quantified.

Keywords

Education, HIV/AIDS, traditional, treatment, vertical transmission

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